The current betting landscape for the 2028 U.S. presidential election features Vice President JD Vance as the leading contender for the Republican nomination and the presidency. BetOnline lists Vance as a +150 favorite for the Republican nomination and a +275 favorite to win the election. Former President Donald Trump is the second choice for the Republican nomination at 5-1, and he is tied with Kamala Harris at 12-1 for the presidency.
Despite Trump’s potential interest in running, the U.S. Constitution prohibits presidents from serving more than two terms. BetOnline offers odds of 50-1 that this limit will be repealed, although the likelihood is considered low with “no” being a -900 favorite. If the limit were repealed, it could allow former two-term presidents like Barack Obama and Bill Clinton to run again. Obama is currently listed at 50-1 to win the 2028 election, and Clinton at 750-1.
Electionbettingodds.com gives Vance a 46.5% chance of securing the Republican nomination, translating to a +115 favorite. Trump has a 7.5% chance, correlating to 12-1 odds. Vance also has a 24.3% chance of being elected president, while other candidates like Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro and California Governor Gavin Newsom are listed with lower probabilities.
In the UK, Ladbrokes sportsbook also positions Vance as the favorite at +275, with Shapiro, Trump Jr., and Newsom trailing. Political betting remains prohibited at U.S. sportsbooks, but international platforms continue to offer odds on potential candidates.